Appendix

A. Checklist for opportunities and threats

a. Corporate actions

Monitor yield curve at Federal Reserve Economic Data page, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y. Also, see the essay by economist Robert Murphy, https://mises.org/wire/inverted-yield-curve-and-recession.

Keep close tabs on suppliers. Price increases reveal an inflationary boom is underway, and when the Federal Reserve begins to tighten the money supply and raises the Fed funds rate to prevent price inflation from accelerating, the countdown to the recession begins.

As the boom is maturing, prepare a list of possible takeovers to purchase assets at discount prices as the recession reaches its depths.

Monitor final sales closely to determine if consumers are beginning ...

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