About this Book
Lots of decisions, whether in business, science, the military, or everyday life, involve judgment calls under uncertainty. When different factors sway you in different directions, how do you know what to pay attention to the most? Probabilistic models enable you to express all the relevant information about your situation. Probabilistic reasoning lets you use these models to determine the probability of the variables that make the most difference to your decision. You can use probabilistic reasoning to predict the things that are most likely to happen: will your product be a success at your target price; will the patient respond well to a particular treatment; will your candidate win the election if she takes a certain position? ...
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