1. Introduction

One of the big questions in organizations is “How much will this project cost?” The other question is “When will this project be done?” In fact, the bigger the project, the more the people in the organization want to know.

The problem with these questions is that they are predictions. I don’t know about you, but my crystal ball is opaque. It’s never been good at predictions.

On the other hand, I’ve had pretty good results with educated guesses. I’ve had even better results with using data to update my guesses as I’ve proceeded.

Estimation has been a common “problem” in software projects. I have written about it in essays and blog posts for several years. I decided if I created a book, I could share what has worked for me, ...

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