Book description
Praise for the First Edition
"If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations."
- Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio's "Math Guy" and author of The Math Gene and The Unfinished Game
From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty.
The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels of experience with probability can understand the little numbers found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the Second Edition features numerous examples on weather forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing. The revised edition also includes:
The application of probability in finance, such as option pricing
The introduction of branching processes and the extinction of family names
An extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver's election predictions
Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course dealing with probability.
Table of contents
- Cover Page
- Title Page
- Copyright
- Contents
- Preface to the Second Edition
- Preface to the First Edition
-
1: Computing Probabilities: Right Ways and Wrong Ways
- THE PROBABILIST
- THE PROBABILIST'S TOYS AND LANGUAGE
- THE PROBABILIST'S RULE BOOK
- INDEPENDENCE, AIRPLANES, AND RUSSIAN PEASANTS
- CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY, SWEDISH TV, AND BRITISH COURTS
- LIAR, LIAR
- CAR DEALERS AND COLOR BLINDNESS
- SHUTTLECOCKS AND SPAGHETTI WESTERNS
- COMBINATORICS, PASTRAMI, AND POETRY
- THE VON TRAPPS AND THE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
- FINAL WORD
- 2: Surprising Probabilities: When Intuition Struggles
- 3: Tiny Probabilities: Why Are They So Hard to Escape?
- 4: Backward Probabilities: The Reverend Bayes to Our Rescue
- 5: Beyond Probabilities: What to Expect
- 6: Inevitable Probabilities: Two Fascinating Mathematical Results
- 7: Gambling Probabilities: Why Donald Trump Is Richer than You
- 8: Guessing Probabilities: Enter the Statisticians
- 9: Faking Probabilities: Computer Simulation
- Index
Product information
- Title: Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, 2nd Edition
- Author(s):
- Release date: March 2015
- Publisher(s): Wiley
- ISBN: 9781118898901
You might also like
book
FT Guide to Business Numeracy, 2nd Edition
Whether you need to understand other peoples calculations to make confident business decisions, or formulate investment …
book
Data Analysis: What Can Be Learned From the Past 50 Years
This book explores the many provocative questions concerning the fundamentals of data analysis. It is based …
book
Text Mining of Web-Based Medical Content
• Includes Text Mining and Natural Language Processing Methods for extracting information from electronic health records …
book
Bayesian Signal Processing: Classical, Modern and Particle Filtering Methods
New Bayesian approach helps you solve tough problems in signal processing with ease Signal processing is …