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Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models by Carsten Wehn, Christian Hoppe, Greg N. Gregoriou

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20

Mistakes in the Market Approach to CorrelationA Lesson For Future Stress-Testing

Massimo Morini

Banca IMI

20.1 Introduction

20.2 From Flat Correlation towards a Realistic Approach

20.2.1 Correlation parameterization for the market skew

20.3 Payoff Stress and the Liquidity Mistake

20.3.1 Dynamic value at risk

20.3.2 Conclusions

20.4 Testing with Historical Scenarios and the Concentration Mistake

20.4.1 Historical scenarios to test mapping methods

20.4.1.1 Idiosyncratic crisis: May 2005

20.4.1.2 The Systemic crisis: July 2007

20.4.2 Limits of Mapping and the Management of Model Risk

20.4.2.1 Introducing dispersion as a benchmark for model risk

20.4.3 Conclusions

20.5 Lessons for Future Stress-Testing

Notes

References

20.1 Introduction

Most of ...

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