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Return on Software: Maximizing the Return on Your Software Investment
book

Return on Software: Maximizing the Return on Your Software Investment

by Steve Tockey
August 2004
Intermediate to advanced
656 pages
15h 28m
English
Addison-Wesley Professional
Content preview from Return on Software: Maximizing the Return on Your Software Investment

Expectation Variance in Decision Making

In the Mountain Systems Western Division example, basing the decision on expected value alone was sufficient because the probabilities for each of the outcomes were the same for each of the alternatives. However, this isn't always the case, and the differing probabilities could themselves influence the decision. Suppose that the Eastern Division of Mountain Systems needs to choose between two of their own alternatives, the Berkshire project and the Pocono project. They know that they don't have the resources to do both.

The details of the Berkshire project are shown in Table 24.4. In PW(i) terms, its expected value is $837,000.

Table 24.4. Outcomes, Probabilities, and Values for the Berkshire Project
Outcome ...
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Publisher Resources

ISBN: 0321228758Purchase book