3The Performance-Based Scenario System

This chapter situates scenario planning in the organizational context. It explains how scenario planning fits into the organizational system as a subsystem with its own inputs, processes, outputs, and feedback loops.

To accomplish this goal, the state of the economic, business, and societal environment and its influence on organizational activity is described. Not only does the environment make the case for scenario planning, but it also sets up the reality of systems within systems and ever-changing conditions. This chapter also explains organizations as systems, describes scenario planning as a system within the organization, and introduces the phases of scenario planning that form the content for Part ...

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