Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment

Chapter 7

Quantifying and Simulating Solar-Plant Variability Using Irradiance Data

Matthew Lave,    Department of Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego, USA and Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, USA

Jan Kleissl,    Department of Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego, USA

Joshua Stein,    Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, USA

Chapter Outline

7.1. Causes and Impacts of PV Variability

7.2. Variability Metrics

7.2.1. Ramp Rates

7.2.2. Clear-Sky Index

7.2.3. Wavelet Decomposition

7.2.4. Variability Reduction

7.3. Wavelet Variability Model

7.3.1. WVM Procedure

7.3.2. Correlations between Sites

7.3.3. WVM Applications

7.4. WVM Validation and Application in Puerto Rico ...