Chapter 11
Satellite-Based Irradiance and Power Forecasting for the German Energy Market
Jan Kühnert, Elke Lorenz and Detlev Heinemann, Energy Meteorology Group, Institute of Physics, Oldenburg University
Chapter Outline
11.1. Solar Energy Penetration in Germany
11.2. Overview of the Satellite Forecast Process
11.3. Irradiance from Satellite Data
11.4.1. Detection of Cloud Motion
11.4.2. Determination of Model Parameters
11.4.3. Forecasting by Extrapolation of Motion
11.4.4. Postprocessing: Smoothing
11.5.1. Evaluation Measures and Period
11.5.2. Reference Forecasts: ECMWF and Persistence
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