11Bayesian Estimation
In several applications there is enough (statistical) information on the most likely values of the parameters θ to be estimated even before making any experiment, or before any data collection. The information is encoded in terms of the a‐priori pdf p(θ) that accounts for the properties of θ before any observation (Chapter 6). Bayesian methods make efficient use of the a‐priori pdf to yield the best estimate given both the observation x and the a‐priori knowledge on the admissible values from p(θ).
Recall that MLE is based on the conditional pdf that sets the probability of the specific observation xk for any choice , but these choices are not all equally likely. In the Bayesian approach, the outcome of the k th experiment is part of a set of (real or conceptual) experiments with two random sets θ and x, that in the case of an additive noise model are θ and w. The joint pdf is
but it is meaningful to consider for each experiment (or realization of the rv x) the pdf of the parameter θ conditioned to the k th observation (here deterministic) according to Bayes’ ...
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