11Bayesian Estimation

In several applications there is enough (statistical) information on the most likely values of the parameters θ to be estimated even before making any experiment, or before any data collection. The information is encoded in terms of the a‐priori pdf p(θ) that accounts for the properties of θ before any observation (Chapter 6). Bayesian methods make efficient use of the a‐priori pdf to yield the best estimate given both the observation x and the a‐priori knowledge on the admissible values from p(θ).

Recall that MLE is based on the conditional pdf images that sets the probability of the specific observation xk for any choice images, but these choices are not all equally likely. In the Bayesian approach, the outcome of the k th experiment is part of a set of (real or conceptual) experiments with two random sets θ and x, that in the case of an additive noise model images are θ and w. The joint pdf is

images

but it is meaningful to consider for each experiment (or realization of the rv x) the pdf of the parameter θ conditioned to the k th observation (here deterministic) according to Bayes’ ...

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