CHAPTER 1

Supremacy of the Trend

Where do you start when you first look at a stock chart? Are your eyes drawn to the indicators first? Perhaps your chart has too many indicators and you don't know where to start. With so much information for the technical analyst to discover, new traders often do not know where to begin or what should guide them in structuring their price charts. Sometimes it can be helpful to remove the indicators and focus squarely on price itself—after all, you've certainly heard the axioms “Price is King” and “Only price pays.”

This introductory chapter will examine why trend analysis is so important to formulating your trading plan. Using your assessment of the current trend structure as guidance for which indicators to use and which to ignore, you will then be able to envision a clearer pathway ahead for the next swing or directional move in price, and thus be better equipped to take advantage by trading the expected move.

After all, you must start your decision-making process somewhere and you must be as objective as possible, as opposed to subjective analysis which is prone to opinion, bias, and error. While technical analysis is more of an art than a science—which leaves the chart open to interpretation—you build your foundation from time-tested principles that guide your analysis each time you review a chart and seek opportunities for profit. This chapter lays the foundation for successful analysis and trading, starting with the underlying principle ...

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