Chapter 10. Facts-in-the-Future™
It is not certain that everything is uncertain. | ||
| --PASCAL, PENSEES, 1670 | ||
Consider the Odds, Charlie Brown
I have seen a recurring Peanuts episode of Lucy holding a football and encouraging Charlie Brown to kick it. Charlie always gets suckered in, for just as he runs to kick the ball, Lucy always moves it. A surprised Charlie always kicks only air and lands on his bottom. Because we are familiar with Lucy’s ploy, we grin as she suckers Charlie in—again each fall as the cartoon is reprised.
Predictable Surprises
If you were Charlie, and had seen this pattern before, you would know that only two things could happen. Either Lucy will hold the ball and let him kick it, or she will move it at the last minute. Lucy always ...
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