Thinking with Data

Table of Contents

1. Praise for Thinking with Data
2. Preface
   1. Conventions Used in This Book
   2. Safari® Books Online
   3. How to Contact Us
   4. Acknowledgments
3. 1. Scoping: Why Before How
   1. Context (Co)
   2. Needs (N)
   3. Vision (V)
   4. Outcome (O)
   5. Seeing the Big Picture
4. 2. What Next?
   1. Refining the Vision
   2. Deep Dive: Real Estate and Public Transit
   3. Deep Dive Continued: Working Forward
   4. Deep Dive Continued: Scaffolding
   5. Verifying Understanding
   6. Getting Our Hands Dirty
5. 3. Arguments
   1. Audience and Prior Beliefs
   2. Claims
   3. Evidence, Justification, and Rebuttals
   4. Deep Dive: Improving College Graduation Rates
6. 4. Patterns of Reasoning
   1. Categories of Disputes
      1. Fact
      2. Definition
      3. Value
      4. Policy
   2. General Topics
      1. Specific-to-General
      2. General-to-Specific
      3. Argument by Analogy
   3. Special Arguments
      1. Optimization
      2. Bounding Case
      3. Cost/Benefit Analysis
7. 5. Causality
   1. Defining Causality
   2. Designs
   3. Intervention Designs
   4. Observational Designs
   5. Natural Experiments
   6. Statistical Methods
8. 6. Putting It All Together
   1. Deep Dive: Predictive Model for Conversion Probability
   2. Deep Dive: Calculating Access to Microfinance
   3. Wrapping Up
9. A. Further Reading
10. Colophon
11. Copyright