Threat Forecasting

Preface

Man has endeavored to see beyond his circumstances since time immemorial. He has developed and adopted a vast and wide array of esoteric beliefs and rituals, which, over time, aided him to one degree or another in making decisions that would have ramifications on individuals, communities, populations, and empires. Throughout history, man’s desire to know and understand the future has encouraged him to strive toward greater and greater heights; heights that could only be reached by dismissing the esoteric in favor of the scientific. Today, man continues to forecast and predict outcomes, only now instead of looking into the mists or at the bones, man looks at evidence; at math and contemplates probability based on a variety of factors ...