5Third Step: Construct Stories about What Could Happen
THE THIRD STEP of a transformative scenario planning project is for the team to construct a useful set of scenarios about what could happen in and around their system. To be useful, the scenarios must be relevant, challenging, plausible, and clear. Useful scenarios open up and enable movement in the thinking and acting of actors across the system.
Using the Deductive Method to Generate Four Scenarios from Two Key Uncertainties
The Great Zimbabwe Scenarios team deepened their shared understanding of certainties and uncertainties about the future by talking through their country’s history, the perspectives of invited resource persons, and their own experiences. By their third workshop, held ...