1. The adaptive scenario planning methodology is explained in Jeremy B. Bentham et al., Scenarios: An Explorer’s Guide (The Hague: Shell International, 2008); Thomas Chermack, Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios (San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, 2011); Rafael Ramírez, John W. Selsky, and Kees van der Heijden, eds., Business Planning for Turbulent Times: New Methods for Applying Scenarios (London: Rout-ledge, 2010); Diana Scearce and Katherine Fulton, What If?: The Art of Scenario Thinking for Nonprofits (San Francisco: Global Business Network, 2004); Peter Schwartz, The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World (New York: Currency, 1996); Chantell Ilbury ...

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