© The Author(s), under exclusive license to APress Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2022
I. LivshinArtificial Neural Networks with Javahttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4842-7368-5_11

11. The Importance of Selecting the Correct Model

Igor Livshin1  
(1)
Chicago, IL, USA
 

The example discussed in this chapter will end up showing a negative result. However, we frequently learn a lot from our mistakes.

Example: Predicting Next Month’s Stock Market Price

In this example, we will try to predict next month’s price of the SPY exchange-traded fund (ETF), which is the exchange that mimics the S&P 500 stock market index. Someone’s rational for developing such a project could sound somewhat like this:

“Yes, we know that the market prices are random, jumping daily ...

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