Chapter 1

The Basic Conformal Prediction Framework

Vladimir Vovk,    Computer Learning Research Centre, Department of Computer Science, Royal Holloway, University of London, United Kingdom


The aim of this chapter is to give a gentle introduction to the method of conformal prediction. It defines conformal predictors and discusses their properties, leaving various extensions of conformal predictors for Chapter 2.


Conformal Prediction; Validity; Efficiency; Classification; Regression; Exchangeability


I am grateful to Sasha Tsybakov for his advice. The empirical studies described in this chapter used the R language and the R package PredictiveRegression; I am grateful to Ilia Nouretdinov for cowriting (and writing the ...

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