In other words the forward rate is an average over the possible
rates (r4T)
that will prevail between T and T+ 1/4. The weights that are used in
this average are the risk-neutral probabilities as well as the money-market
account. The difference from the futures rate is the fact that the money-
market account is a weighting factor. The result is that for forward rates
more weight is given to low interest rates (since low interest rates are asso-
ciated with high 3/I(T+ 1/4) -1, so that the forward rate will be below the
rate implied ...
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