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Inflation-Linked Bonds and Derivatives
book

Inflation-Linked Bonds and Derivatives

by Jessica James, Michael Leister, Christoph Rieger
January 2023
Intermediate to advanced
129 pages
3h 35m
English
De Gruyter
Content preview from Inflation-Linked Bonds and Derivatives

Chapter 5 Inflation Expectations, Seasonality and Base Effects

Decoding Market-based Inflation Expectations

Where do people think that inflation will go? Up, down, static? While we can extract forward inflation prices from the inflation products, does this actually reflect genuine inflation expectations? And how do we account for the seasonal effects embedded in consumer price indices, like post-Christmas sales or July reductions in the retail sector? Relying on one measure only can be misleading given the various structural and mechanical pitfalls of inflation products. In this chapter, we present a broader set of metrics and cross-checks in order to obtain a robust and comprehensive picture of market-based inflation expectations. As former ...

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Publisher Resources

ISBN: 9783110787474