January 2023
Intermediate to advanced
129 pages
3h 35m
English
Where do people think that inflation will go? Up, down, static? While we can extract forward inflation prices from the inflation products, does this actually reflect genuine inflation expectations? And how do we account for the seasonal effects embedded in consumer price indices, like post-Christmas sales or July reductions in the retail sector? Relying on one measure only can be misleading given the various structural and mechanical pitfalls of inflation products. In this chapter, we present a broader set of metrics and cross-checks in order to obtain a robust and comprehensive picture of market-based inflation expectations. As former ...
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