11 A Mathematical Model and Forecasting of COVID-19 Outbreak in India

G. Maria Jones, S. Godfrey Winster, A. George Maria Selvam, and D. Vignesh

Contents

  1. 11.1 Introduction
  2. 11.2 Related Work
  3. 11.3 Mathematical Formulation of COVID-19 Outbreak
    1. 11.3.1 Data Fitting
  4. 11.4 Time Series Modeling
    1. 11.4.1 LSTM Model for India
  5. 11.5 ARIMA Model for World
  6. 11.6 Prophet model for India
  7. 11.7 Conclusion
  8. References

11.1 Introduction

The world has faced various types of pandemic problems over many centuries. The Black Death was one of the highly destructive epidemics in human history; it occurred during the thirteenth century in Europe and millions of people were affected, mainly elderly adults, with many individuals being exposed to physiological stressors (Dewitte, 2014). The ...

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