December 2022
Intermediate to advanced
376 pages
11h 30m
Chinese
Content preview from 时间序列分析实战：基于机器学习和统计学
Become an O’Reilly member and get unlimited access to this title plus top books and audiobooks from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers, thousands of courses curated by job role, 150+ live events each month,
O’Reilly covers everything we've got, with content to help us build a world-class technology community, upgrade the capabilities and competencies of our teams, and improve overall team performance as well as their engagement.I wanted to learn C and C++, but it didn't click for me until I picked up an O'Reilly book. When I went on the O’Reilly platform, I was astonished to find all the books there, plus live events and sandboxes so you could play around with the technology.I’ve been on the O’Reilly platform for more than eight years. I use a couple of learning platforms, but I'm on O'Reilly more than anybody else. When you're there, you start learning. I'm never disappointed.I'm always learning. So when I got on to O'Reilly, I was like a kid in a candy store. There are playlists. There are answers. There's on-demand training. It's worth its weight in gold, in terms of what it allows me to do.
时间序列：概述和简史
｜
5
1.1.2
气象预测
显然天气预报是被许多人经常关注的。古希腊哲学家亚里士多德就曾深入专研天气，并著
有完整的论文（“
Meteorology
”
）。他对天气的因果关系的见解，直到文艺复兴时期仍然占
主导地位。也自从那时起，科学家借助气压计等新发明的仪器，收集与天气有关的数据，
测量大气状况。他们每天或每隔一小时便使用这些仪器进行测量，来收集时间序列数据。
这些记录的保存方式各异，既可能保存在私人日记里，也可能保存在地方志里。长久以
来，这是西方国家追踪天气变化的唯一途径。
19
世纪
50
年代
，当
Robert FitzRoy
被任命为新的英国政府部门负责人以记录和发布与水
手
2
有关的天气数据时，气象记录的格式和设备都得到了较大的发展。另外，他还创造了
“
weather
forecast
”（天气预报）一词。当时，他因预测得不准确而饱受批评，但现在他被
公认为领先于时代的先驱。首次天气预报由《泰晤士报》刊登，这培养出了人们在报纸上
查阅天气预报的习惯。现在，
FitzRoy
被誉为“预测之父”
。
在
19
世纪末期
（许多天气测量手段已经使用了数百年之后），电报使得人们可以从不同位
置按时间序列快速整理天气数据。这在
19
世纪
70
年代成为世界许多地方的标准
，并出现
了首个有重大意义的数据集，让人们可以利用其他地点的天气情况来预测当地天气。
到了
20
世
纪初，借助收集到的气象数据，人们大力推广了采用数值计算方法进行天气预
报的想法。但早期的天气计算工作需要付出巨大的努力，其准确性却往往很差。这是因
为，尽管科学家对相关的自然法则已有了充分的认识，但无法全部结合起来使用 ...
Become an O’Reilly member and get unlimited access to this title plus top books and audiobooks from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers, thousands of courses curated by job role, 150+ live events each month,
and much more.
Read now
Unlock full access
More than 5,000 organizations count on O’Reilly
O’Reilly covers everything we've got, with content to help us build a world-class technology community, upgrade the capabilities and competencies of our teams, and improve overall team performance as well as their engagement.Julian F.
I wanted to learn C and C++, but it didn't click for me until I picked up an O'Reilly book. When I went on the O’Reilly platform, I was astonished to find all the books there, plus live events and sandboxes so you could play around with the technology.Addison B.
I’ve been on the O’Reilly platform for more than eight years. I use a couple of learning platforms, but I'm on O'Reilly more than anybody else. When you're there, you start learning. I'm never disappointed.Amir M.
I'm always learning. So when I got on to O'Reilly, I was like a kid in a candy store. There are playlists. There are answers. There's on-demand training. It's worth its weight in gold, in terms of what it allows me to do.