You Do It
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μ σ X/3 40 5 2X − 100 140 30 X + 2 122 15 X − X 0 0 -
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Outcome P(X) X Both increase 80% to $18,000 0.25 $36,000 One increases 0.5 $22,000 Both fall 60% to $4,000 0.25 $8,000 E(X) = $22,000
Yes, the probability is symmetric around the mean gain of $22,000.
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Let the random variable X denote the earned profits. Then p(0) = P(X = 0) = 0.05, p(20,000) = 0.75, p(50,000) = 0.20.
$25,000
σ ≈ $13,229
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2.25 reams
σ ≈ 1.26 reams
17.75 reams
1.26 reams
E(500 X) = 1125 pages; SD(500 X) ≈ 630 pages
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$359,000
No. Dividing the cost in bolivars by the expected value of the exchange rate gives 1,000,000/3.29 ≈ $304,000. The error is that E(1/R) > 1/E(R).
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It has to double.
It needs to increase ...
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