January 2017
Beginner
882 pages
203h 41m
English
| μ | σ | |
|---|---|---|
| X/3 | 40 | 5 |
| 2X − 100 | 140 | 30 |
| X + 2 | 122 | 15 |
| X − X | 0 | 0 |
| Outcome | P(X) | X |
|---|---|---|
| Both increase 80% to $18,000 | 0.25 | $36,000 |
| One increases | 0.5 | $22,000 |
| Both fall 60% to $4,000 | 0.25 | $8,000 |
E(X) = $22,000
Yes, the probability is symmetric around the mean gain of $22,000.
Let the random variable X denote the earned profits. Then p(0) = P(X = 0) = 0.05, p(20,000) = 0.75, p(50,000) = 0.20.
$25,000
σ ≈ $13,229
2.25 reams
σ ≈ 1.26 reams
17.75 reams
1.26 reams
E(500 X) = 1125 pages; SD(500 X) ≈ 630 pages
$359,000
No. Dividing the cost in bolivars by the expected value of the exchange rate gives 1,000,000/3.29 ≈ $304,000. The error is that E(1/R) > 1/E(R).
It has to double.
It needs to increase ...