Chapter 1 Bitcoin Is a Bubble
When I see a bubble, I buy that bubble, because that is how I make money.
—George Soros
Fad, scheme, scam, tulipmania, and bubble are all terms I have used to describe Bitcoin. The majority of my professional money management career has been spent in the currency markets, and as a so-called expert I was convinced Bitcoin was nothing more than a speculative bubble. It seemed impossible that a string of numbers backed by nothing and without an army could ever meet the accepted definition of a currency as a plausible medium of exchange, store of value, or unit of account. More than once, I confidently declared that Bitcoin was nothing more than “Tulipmania 2.0,” a reference to the Dutch tulip bubble of the 1600s. Of course, the only thing I knew about Bitcoin was that people were calling it a digital currency, a term that was new to me. Unfortunately, not even ignorance could stop me from bellowing on national television that Bitcoin would not last.
I had first read about Bitcoin in 2011 while browsing my usual currency websites looking for investment ideas. In the late spring of 2011, the price of bitcoin had reached parity with the U.S. dollar, and by July, one bitcoin was worth $31. Any investment that has a 3,000 percent increase in value will attract a lot of attention, but two decades working on Wall Street has taught me not only to be skeptical but to automatically dismiss these investments as unsustainable bubbles.
Bitcoin appeared to be ...
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