The New Korea: An Inside Look at South Korea's Economic Rise

Chapter 15 • Whither the North? 247

If China does enter the fi ghting, it will be ugly for the Chinese.

U.S. forces will have guaranteed air superiority and the conven-

tional Chinese tactics of human wave formations will be decid-

edly ineffective in the face of modern air weapons at the disposal

of U.S. F- 16s. Nuclear brinksmanship will surely come into play as

well, but what China has to lose compared to what it has to gain

from defending North Korea points to a probable end game of a

negotiated solution.

The aftermath of such a war will probably look much like the af-

termath of regime collapse, which is discussed in our second scenario.

REGIME ...