November 2024
Intermediate to advanced
352 pages
9h 54m
French
Content preview from Analyse du football avec Python et R
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Chapitre 1. L'analyse du football
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Le football américain (également connu sous le nom de gridiron football ou football nord-américain et désormais simplement appelé football) connaît une évolution radicale vers le quantitatif. Avant la dernière moitié d'une dizaine d'années, la plupart des analyses du football se limitaient à quelques travaux précurseurs. Le premier exemple d'utilisation de l'analytique dans le football est sans doute celui de l'ancien quart-arrière de l'université Brigham Young, des Chicago Bears, des Cincinnati Bengals et des San Diego Chargers, Virgil Carter, qui a créé la notion de point attendu en tant que coauteur de l'article "Technical Note : Operations Research in Football" de 1971, avant de faire équipe avec le légendaire Bill Walsh en tant que premier quart-arrière à mettre en œuvre ce que l'on appelle aujourd'hui l'attaque de la côte ouest.
L'idée d'un point attendu est incroyablement importante au football, car le jeu, par sa nature même, est discret : un ensemble d'un nombre fini de jeux (également appelés downs) qui exigent que l'attaque parcourt une certaine distance (en yards) avant de devoir abandonner le ballon à l'équipe adverse. Si la ligne à gagner est la zone d'en-but de l'adversaire, l'attaque marque un touchdown, qui vaut, en moyenne, sept points après une conversion post-touchdown. Par conséquent, le point ...
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