CHAPTER 15Appendix: Mathematical Arguments
15.1 PROOF THAT EXPECTED UTILITY SATISFIES THE AXIOMS OF RATIONAL CHOICE
Transitivity:
Suppose so that lottery A is chosen over lottery B, so that lottery B is chosen over lottery C. Since and are real numbers these numbers can be ordered from high to low so that from it follows that . That is, lottery A is chosen over lottery C.
Independence Axiom:
To prove that expected utility satisfies the independence axiom, we need to be a bit more formal. A lottery is given by a collection of payoffs x1,…,xn and their probabilities p1,…,pn. Without loss of generality, we can assume that all lotteries have the same payoffs but might differ in the probabilities.1 Thus, given the possible outcomes the lotteries are determined by the probabilities of these outcomes. To distinguish the lotteries we will then index the probabilities with the lottery, i.e., ...
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