CHAPTER 7VaR in Portfolios of Assets and Options
To study market risk, we must calculate the capital required to protect a business or portfolio from adverse states of nature, or negative situations, associated with price variations.
In this chapter, we consider only the risks associated with variations in prices or returns. We do not consider default risk: that is, the default probability of the counterparties or liquidity risk.
First, we will explore the concept of risk measurement for an asset portfolio. We will then look at asset portfolios without derivatives. In the third part, we will discuss derivatives (particularly options) in an asset portfolio.
7.1 VaR AS A RISK MEASURE
To calculate the capital required by a portfolio, we need a measure that is easy to understand. VaR meets this criterion because it summarizes all the information in a single number expressed in monetary units or in returns. For example, according to the formula of J.P. Morgan's RiskMetrics model, relative VaR is the maximum amount that one can lose over the next unit of time at a given degree of confidence. This measure can be expressed as the following equation:
where:
| is the standard deviation of the portfolio market risk, which we will revisit later; | |
| represents the weight assigned to the ... |
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