Chapter 12. Prospects and Perspectives

The life sciences are advancing at a remarkable rate, perhaps faster than any other branch of science. The same can be said of deep learning: it is one of the most exciting, rapidly advancing areas of computer science. The combination of the two has the potential to change the world in dramatic, far-reaching ways. The effects are already starting to be felt, but those are trivial compared to what will likely happen over the next few decades. The union of deep learning with biology can do enormous good, but also great harm.

In this final chapter we will set aside the mechanics of training deep models and take a broader view of the future of the field. Where does it have the greatest potential to solve important problems in the coming years? What obstacles must be overcome for that to happen? And what risks associated with this work must we strive to avoid?

Medical Diagnosis

Diagnosing disease will likely be one of the first places where deep learning makes its mark. In just the last few years, models have been published that match or exceed the accuracy of expert humans at diagnosing many important diseases. Examples include pneumonia, skin cancer, diabetic retinopathy, age-related macular degeneration, heart arrhythmia, breast cancer, and more. That list is expected to grow very rapidly.

Many of these models are based on image data: X-rays, MRIs, microscope images, etc. This makes sense. Deep learning’s first great successes were in the ...

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