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“k10031final” — 2009/4/6 — 12:30 — page xiii — #7
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Preface
The receiver operating characteristic (or ROC) curve is one of those
statistical techniques that is now ubiquitous in a wide variety of sub-
stantive fields. Its earliest manifestation was during World War II for
the analysis of radar signals, and it consequently entered the scien-
tific literature in the 1950s in connection with signal detection theory
and psychophysics (where assessment of human and animal detection
of weak signals was of considerable interest). The seminal text for this
early work was that by Green and Swets (1966). Later, in the 1970s and
1980s, it became evident that the technique was of considerable rele-
vance ...