January 2012
Intermediate to advanced
384 pages
8h 36m
English
Content preview from Tail Risk Killers: How Math, Indeterminacy, and Hubris Distort MarketsBecome an O’Reilly member and get unlimited access to this title plus top books and audiobooks from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers, thousands of courses curated by job role, 150+ live events each month,
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Introduction
There are only two ways of becoming a historian of the future: scientific deduction and divination or fortune-telling. But scientific deduction would disqualify itself for cognition of the future by the process of scientific deduction. For science must always be careful not to make a fool of itself. Science would scarcely go further than a computation of probabilities.
Divination and fortune-telling, on the other hand, have the inestimable advantage of looking back up on a long and venerable practice, which according to incontrovertible tradition has produced remarkably successful results. In order to be genuine, the prophetic forms of cognition must know how to wear the veil of parable and to cast the shadow of mystery.
—FRANZ WERFEL, ...
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O’Reilly covers everything we've got, with content to help us build a world-class technology community, upgrade the capabilities and competencies of our teams, and improve overall team performance as well as their engagement.Julian F.
I wanted to learn C and C++, but it didn't click for me until I picked up an O'Reilly book. When I went on the O’Reilly platform, I was astonished to find all the books there, plus live events and sandboxes so you could play around with the technology.Addison B.
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I'm always learning. So when I got on to O'Reilly, I was like a kid in a candy store. There are playlists. There are answers. There's on-demand training. It's worth its weight in gold, in terms of what it allows me to do.