The NFL Draft: How “The Experts” Get It Wrong More Often Than Not, Expensively

The NFL Draft: How “The Experts” Get It Wrong More Often Than Not, Expensively

by Martin B. Schmidt
Released May 2010
Publisher(s): Pearson
ISBN: 9780132120265

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Book description

This Element is an excerpt from Stumbling On Wins: Two Economists Expose the Pitfalls on the Road to Victory in Professional Sports (9780132357784) by David J. Berri and Martin B. Schmidt. Available in print and digital formats.

Why NFL teams’ conventional approach to the draft just doesn’t work--and what they should be doing instead.

If the NFL draft worked according to conventional wisdom, the greatest surplus value would be found at the top of the draft. However, the data suggests that picks in the top half of the second round have the greatest surplus value. This means teams in the first round, especially at the top, should be making every effort to trade down. They’ve traditionally done the opposite....

Table of contents

  1. Title Page
  2. Copyright Page
  3. FTPress Delivers Elements

Product information

  • Title: The NFL Draft: How “The Experts” Get It Wrong More Often Than Not, Expensively
  • Author(s): Martin B. Schmidt
  • Release date: May 2010
  • Publisher(s): Pearson
  • ISBN: 9780132120265