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Better Business Decisions from Data
book

Better Business Decisions from Data

by Peter Kenny
June 2014
Beginner to intermediate
288 pages
7h 2m
English
Apress
Content preview from Better Business Decisions from Data

CHAPTER 1

The Scarcity of Certainty

What Time Will the Next Earthquake Be?

On the twenty-second of October, 2012, in Italy, six geophysicists and a government civil protection officer were sentenced to six years in prison on charges of manslaughter for underestimating the risk of a serious earthquake in the vicinity of the city of L’Aquila. Following several seismic shocks, the seven had met in committee on March 31, 2009, to consider the risk of a major earthquake. They recorded three main conclusions: that earthquakes are not predictable, that the L’Aquila region has the highest seismic risk in Italy, and that a large earthquake in the short term was unlikely. On April 6, a major earthquake struck with the loss of more than 300 lives.

The ...

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Publisher Resources

ISBN: 9781484201848Purchase book