PREFACE
With the publication of Managing Emerging Risk, The Capstone of Preparedness in 2011 by CRC Press, my publisher and I set out to deeply consider the notion of risk and what constitutes a risk assessment. In that volume we explored the complexities and wild variance found in what passes for many risk assessments today. We developed scenarios to introduce the reader to areas of critical thinking around probability and possibility, and ultimately proscribed a method that evoked an admixture of data-driven risk modeling and structured narrative around new risk.
Amazingly, in the six months after Managing Emerging Risk was published, many of the scenarios came true, and other, more menacing risks emerged. The publisher and I agreed that ...
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