Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics

5Rapid Forecasting of Pandemic Outbreak Using Machine Learning: The Case of COVID-19

Nishant Jha and Deepak Prashar^*

Computer Science & Engineering, Lovely Professional University, Phagwara (Punjab), India

Abstract

Some huge scope outside impact pandemics has risen in the course of the most recent two decades, including human, natural life, and plant plagues. Authorities face strategy issues that are reliant on deficient information and require sickness gauges. In this manner, there is an earnest need to create models that empower us to outline all accessible information to estimate and screen an advancing pandemic in an ideal way. This chapter targets assessing different models and proposing an early-cautioning AI approach that can conjecture potential flare-ups of ailments. For gauge COVID-19 episodes, the SEIR model, molecule channel calculation and an assortment of pandemic-related datasets are utilized to investigate different models and strategies. In this chapter, various intermediaries have been clarified for the pandemic season prompting comparative conduct of the powerful multiplication number. We found that a solid relationship exists among conferences and analyzed datasets, particularly when considering time based models. Singular parameters gave like distinctive episode seasons esteems, in this way offering an open door for future flare-ups to utilize such data.

Keywords: COVID-19, SEIR, particle filter, reproduction number, machine learning, epidemic

5.1 Introduction ...