
sloanreview.mit.edu 31
zon and business footprint. The aim is to examine a range
of key uncertainties and distill them into a few internally
consistent narratives that tell relevant stories about dif-
ferent futures that may lie ahead. Later, these scenarios
can be rened for tactical decisions or operational issues.
But rst, dierent future visions will need to be shared
and debated.
Developing macro scenarios upfront has multiple
benets. First, it invites leaders into a dress rehearsal
about dierent futures before they occur. This helps
prime the organization to recognize weak signals about
impending change sooner. A second benet ...