4.1. Introduction4.2. Statistics and Definitions4.3. All About Exponential, Lognormal, and Weibull Distributions4.4. System Reliability4.5. On the Physical Significance of Failure Distribution Functions4.6. Prediction Confidence and Assessing Risk4.7. A Skeptical and Irreverent SummaryStatistics and IgnoranceSuperstition, Witchcraft, PredictionStatistics versus PhysicsWhere Do I Begin?Reliability Prediction and MIL-HDBK-2174.8. Epilogue—Final CommentExercises