Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment

Chapter 13

Data Assimilation in Numerical Weather Prediction and Sample Applications

Andrew S. Jones and Steven J. Fletcher,    Colorado State University, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere

Chapter Outline

13.1. Introduction

13.2. DA Methods and Their Use

13.2.1. Overview

13.2.2. Major NWP DA Centers

13.2.3. Data Cycling

13.2.4. Data Quality Control

13.2.5. Data Thinning

13.2.6. Performance Metrics

13.3. How does DA Work?

13.3.1. Bayesian Theory

13.3.2. DA Components: Forward Models, Mathematical Adjoints, Operators, and Cost Function

13.3.3. Variational DA

13.3.4. Incremental Variational DA

13.3.5. Ensemble DA

13.3.6. Particle Filters

13.4. Solar-Energy DA Challenges

13.4.1. Nonlinear Physics

13.4.2. Non-Gaussian Physics

13.4.3. Noncontinuous ...