Technical Analysis Plain and Simple: Charting the Markets in Your Language, Second Edition
by Michael N. Kahn
Failure That Forewarns
When a market is trading in an identifiable pattern, such as a flag, rectangle, or channel, it moves from the top of the pattern to the bottom repeatedly. The more often prices touch these borders, the stronger the pattern and the more significant the eventual breakout will be. If the market has developed an underlying strength, prices often fail to trade back down to the lower border. This failure, when combined with other bullish technical indicators, suggests that the direction of the breakout from the pattern will most likely be up and that it should occur the next time prices approach the top border.
Figure 23.1 shows a large declining trend channel for the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2004. The fourth time prices ...
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