Think Bayes

Index

A

• ABC, ABC
• abstract type, Discussion, Representing PDFs
• Anaconda, Working with the code
• Approximate Bayesian Computation, ABC
• arrival rate, Estimating the arrival rate
• Axtell, Robert, An alternative prior

B

• bacteria, Belly button bacteria
• Bayes factor, Oliver’s blood, Back to the Euro problem-Making a fair comparison, Posterior
• Bayesian framework, The Bayesian framework
• Bayes’s theorem, The cookie problem
  • derivation, Bayes’s theorem
  • odds form, The odds form of Bayes’s theorem
• Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, The Variability Hypothesis
• belly button, Belly button bacteria
• Bernoulli process, Poisson processes
• beta distribution, The beta distribution, Lions and tigers and bears
• Beta object, The beta distribution, The belly button data
• biased coin, Back to the Euro problem
• binomial coefficient, Collapsing the hierarchy
• binomial distribution, The prior, The Geiger counter problem, Start simple
• binomial likelihood function, The beta distribution
• biodiversity, Belly button bacteria
• bogus, Update, Back to the Euro problem
• Boston, The Red Line problem
• Boston Bruins, The Boston Bruins problem
• BRFSS, The Variability Hypothesis, ABC
• bucket, Caching the joint distribution
• bus stop problem, Exercises

C

• cache, A little optimization, Implementation
• calibration, Calibration
• Campbell-Ricketts, Tom, The Geiger counter problem
• carcinoma, A more general model
• causation, The Geiger counter problem, Discussion
• CDC, The Variability Hypothesis
• Cdf, Cumulative distribution functions, Discussion, Modeling the contestants, Wait ...