Expert Elicitation Worksheet
For each quantity below, please provide the following four estimates:
- What do you think the minimum value could practically be?
- What do you think the maximum value could practically be?
- Realistically, what is the most likely value?
- How confident are you the interval you created will capture the true value? Please enter a number between 50% and 100%.
What is the length of the U.S. coastline, including Alaska and Hawaii and all territories (in miles)?
- Practical Maximum: ________________ miles
- Practical Minimum: ________________ miles
- Most Likely Value: _______________ miles
- Confidence: ...