June 2013
Intermediate to advanced
352 pages
12h 28m
English
Content preview from Judgment and Decision Making
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CONTENTS
| List of Figures | |||||||
| List of Tables | |||||||
| Acknowledgments | |||||||
| On the Cover | |||||||
| Introduction | |||||||
| PART I BACKGROUND | |||||||
| 1. | Judgment and Decision Making | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff | |||||||
| 2. | Tversky, Amos (1937–96) | ||||||
| B. Fischhoff | |||||||
| PART II HINDSIGHT BIAS | |||||||
| 3. | Hindsight ≠ Foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff | |||||||
| 4. | For those Condemned to Study the Past: Reflections on historical judgment | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff | |||||||
| 5. | An Early History of Hindsight Research | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff | |||||||
| PART III JUDGMENT | |||||||
| 6. | Hypothesis Evaluation from a Bayesian Perspective | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff, Ruth Beyth-Marom | |||||||
| 7. | Knowing with Certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence | ||||||
| Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein | |||||||
| 8. | Fault Trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities ... | ||||||
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I'm always learning. So when I got on to O'Reilly, I was like a kid in a candy store. There are playlists. There are answers. There's on-demand training. It's worth its weight in gold, in terms of what it allows me to do.