December 2021
Beginner to intermediate
1168 pages
30h 17m
English
Questions answered in this chapter:
How do I interpret seasonal indexes for a time series?
Is there an easy way to incorporate trend and seasonality into forecasting future product sales?
Often you need a simple, accurate method to predict the future quarterly revenues of a corporation or the future monthly sales of a product. The ratio-to-moving-average method provides an accurate, easy-to-use forecasting method for these situations.
Our discussion of the ratio-to-moving-average method will incorporate an additive trend. An additive trend of 10 units per quarter means, for example, that sales are increasing by 10 units per quarter. In contrast, an additive trend of –5 units per quarter means ...
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