11THE ACCURACY OF PORTFOLIO RISK ESTIMATION

DAVID A. MAYNARD, BSEE, MBA, PMP

Overview

These portfolios, such as most business enterprises, are created to accept a calculated degree of risk for an expected reward. This reward can be received in short- or long-term. The key is to balance risk and reward in order to maximize the value of the portfolio to the organization. Without an accurate assessment of risk, the portfolio manager is treading on dangerous territory.

It should be clearly understood that the large body of well-developed mathematics dealing with the analysis of investment portfolios has only a small relationship to the analysis of a portfolio of projects, programs, and components. The following discussion, while borrowing from ...

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