April 2025
Intermediate to advanced
504 pages
15h
Portuguese (Portugal, Brazil)
Content preview from Análise prática de séries temporais
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Capítulo 13. Aplicações no sector da saúde
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Neste capítulo, analisaremos a análise de séries temporais no contexto dos cuidados de saúde com dois estudos de caso: Previsão da gripe e previsão da glicemia. >Tratam-se de aplicações importantes no domínio dos cuidados de saúde para problemas de saúde comuns. Além disso, em ambos os casos, não se trata de problemas resolvidos, mas sim de tópicos de pesquisa em curso no meio académico e na indústria dos cuidados de saúde.
Prever a gripe
Prever a taxa de gripe de semana para semana numa determinada área geográfica é um problema antigo e permanente. Tanto os especialistas em doenças infecciosas como os profissionais de segurança global concordam que as doenças infecciosas representam um risco significativo para o bem-estar humano. Este é particularmente o caso da gripe, que atinge os mais vulneráveis em todo o mundo, causando centenas de mortes todos os anos, principalmente entre os mais jovens e os mais idosos. É crucial, tanto do ponto de vista da saúde como da segurança nacional, desenvolver modelos precisos de como a gripe irá evoluir numa determinada estação. Os modelos de previsão da gripe são úteis tanto para prever especificamente o vírus como para ajudar os pesquisadores a explorar teorias gerais sobre a forma como as doenças infecciosas se propagam geograficamente.
Um estudo de caso sobre a gripe numa área ...
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