Using Scenarios

11 Developing Scenario Signals and Critical Uncertainty Dashboards

Signals are one of the most important outcomes of scenario planning, and they should be mandatory. They are usually undervalued. Signals provide a direct feedback loop to the external environment in terms of what people see going on in the world around them and how they interpret what they see (Davis, 2003). In short, signals are the events required for a given scenario to emerge in reality (Schoemaker et al., 2013). They allow you to track what is happening in the political, social, technological, economic, and other environments and what is necessary for any given scenario to ...