CANSWERS TO THE EXERCISES

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Here you’ll find all the exercise questions and their answers. For some exercises, there are multiple ways we could come up with a solution, so I’ve provided at least one option.

Part I: Introduction to Probability

Chapter 1: Bayesian Thinking and Everyday Reasoning

Q1. Rewrite the following statements as equations using the mathematical notation you learned in this chapter:

  • The probability of rain is low
  • The probability of rain given that it is cloudy is high
  • The probability of you having an umbrella given it is raining is much greater than the probability of you having an umbrella in general.

A1.

Q2. Organize the ...

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