2.14 Exercises on Chapter 2
1. Suppose that

. Find the standardized likelihood as a function of π for given
k. Which of the distributions listed in Appendix A does this represent?
2. Suppose we are given the 12 observations from a normal distribution:
15.644, 16.437, 17.287, 14.448, 15.308, 15.169,
18.123, 17.635, 17.259, 16.311, 15.390, 17.252,
and we are told that the variance

. Find a 90% HDR for the posterior distribution of the mean assuming the usual reference prior.
3. With the same data as in the previous question, what is the predictive distribution for a possible future observation x?
4. A random sample of size
n is to be taken from an

distribution where

is known. How large must
n be to reduce the posterior variance of

to the fraction

of its original value (where
k> 1)?
5. Your prior beliefs about a quantity θ are such that
A random sample of size 25 is taken from ...