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Chapter 5
Barriers to
Analysis
[M]odels of bounded rationality…dispense with the ction of optimiza-
tion, which in many real-world situations demands unrealistic assump-
tions about the knowledge, time, attention, and other resources available
to humans.
Gerd Gigerenzer and Reinhard Selten
Chapter Objectives
1. Understand the importance of objective and nonpoliticized
intelligence.
2. Be able to fully dene and explain the concept of critical thinking
and its importance to analysis.
3. Describe each of the following and explain how they may contribute
to less-than-optimal analysis:
a. Bounded rationality
b. Mindsets
c. Perceptions
4. Explain how biases, such as fundamental attribution error and the
recency eect, are “hardwired” int