Introduction to Intelligence Studies

Analytical Methods 141

evidence may be judged to shed little light on the situation, period. is

could result from it having low impact and credibility or because it does not

oer any insight into falsication. Evidence of this nature is deemed to have

little “diagnostic value.”

As analysts complete the process, they may nd that some hypotheses

have been falsied, some have been strongly supported, some have been

weakly supported, etc. ey may decide that entirely new hypotheses are

needed and that the process must be repeated. Alternatively, they may decide

that they are condent enough to make tentative conclusions. If the latter is

the case, ...